Sunday, August 21, 2005

The Utility Curve of Visiting Patients

I've still got my head in the hospital. And I know just enough about economics to be a total idiot in it. But it strikes me that visiting a patient in a hospital can be examined as an exchange problem (probably not the correct term for what I'm trying to do)--the costs and benefits and how they change over time.

The patient gains from the visit--a break from the boredom, knowledge that someone cares enough to take the trouble, a chance to learn news from the broader world, reaffirmation of family and friendship ties. Note that most of these benefits don't decline in value over a succession of visits. The patient seldom has costs, assuming he is fit enough to receive visitors. (I may be jumping to conclusions--a proud patient can suffer from being seen as incapacitated. That cost may decrease as the patient becomes adjusted to the new role.)

What does the visitor gain from the visit?

The visitor learns the status of the patient, something difficult to assess over the phone. The visitor probably can't learn much news from the patient, except to the extent you can assess what you might face when and if you become a patient. My sense is that the visitor experiences a greater rate of diminishing returns than does the patient. The visitor benefits from showing he's a good person who conforms to social norms. But the sense of self-approbation can decline rapidly.

The visitor has significant costs--a visit is a distraction from the daily routine, which economists seem to assume is a stable balance between costs and benefits.

All of this would suggest that visits should decrease over time.

Cingular Silos

I've been late coming to cellphones, but I was investigating them on my recent trip. My sister has a Cingular pay-as-you-go plan, and I was asking about moving her to a family plan with me. In doing so I seem to have run into two Cingular "silos". (The information technology world sometimes uses "silos" to designate data bases (and associated processes) that don't interface (see this link). )

The salesperson said that we couldn't move the phone number from the pay-as-you-go plan over to a family plan because the plans were on separate servers and separate towers. That's not a reason; it's a description. (It might reflect a corporate takeover in the past--mergers and takeovers are a good way to accumulate lots of silos. A test of the management of the company is whether they are able to merge silos or decide to do away with one set altogether.) Cingular may have decided it wasn't worthwhile to enable such changes, or they may not have had the time to do so.

He also said that he couldn't sell me a Virginia area code from upstate New York; he was limited to his territory. Sales management may have decided it's simplest to run their organization this way. Certainly my request was probably rare. (But how about parents who buy their kids phones for college--don't they have to deal with different area codes? Or does the question reveal how far out of it I am--do most kids get a cell phone when they graduate from elementary school?) But good organizations are flexible.

These two silos won't keep me from going Cingular, but they're worth remembering when we and Congress criticize the FBI bureaucrats for their own silos.

Thursday, August 18, 2005

Setting Limits on Tolerance

Eugene Volokh has done a paper on slippery slopes, on which I aim to comment one day. But Charles Krauthammer yesterday did a column, Setting Limits on Tolerance, in which he said this:
"Call it situational libertarianism: Liberties should be as unlimited as possible -- unless and until there arises a real threat to the open society. Neo-Nazis are pathetic losers. Why curtail civil liberties to stop them? But when a real threat -- such as jihadism -- arises, a liberal democratic society must deploy every resource, including the repressive powers of the state, to deter and defeat those who would abolish liberal democracy.

Civil libertarians go crazy when you make this argument. Beware the slippery slope, they warn. You start with a snoop in a library, and you end up with Big Brother in your living room.

The problem with this argument is that it is refuted by American history. There is no slippery slope, only a shifting line between liberty and security that responds to existential threats."
I hope to start a dialog between the two conservative/libertarian types, particularly given Volokh's post today on First Amendment rights on which I commented. J.S.Mills observed somewhere that it's easy to be tolerant of those obviously in error and too weak to pose a threat. The test, he thought, was when your opponent was formidable.

I suspect Krauthammer is right as a matter of history--we do waver back and forth on the bounds of tolerance. Volokh may be right that as a matter of intellectual rigor and honesty, there should be a slippery slope. But people are neither rigorous nor honest.

Specialization, Communication, and Data in Medicine

In the first NYTimes article on modern medicine (early this week, but I'm too lazy and too far behind to check), they said the outcome for patients with no personal physician going into an illness was far worse than for patients with a physician. And talked about the problems of the patient in dealing with multiple specialists who might offer multiple recommendations for treating an illness.

Based on my recent experience, the article is true enough. I'd focus on the data problem: each specialist needs his or her own data. Actually, "specialist" is misleading--it raises the specter (ouch!) of a white coated expert "...ist". What I, as a layman with no recent experience of modern medicine, didn't realize was that each test involves a different organization. For example, the patient is referred by the personal physician to a medical lab for X-rays and blood work preparatory to a hip replacement operation. But in this case, the "lab" is a building, housing multiple testing organizations, X-ray being one and blood work being another. So the patient ends up going from one to the other, filling out forms for each with partially redundant information. Because the lab is separate from the personal physician, there's potential delay and loss of data. In fact, in the case of my sister, the blood work didn't get back to the physician for several days. This failure to communicate delayed diagnosis and treatment of an infection, which means a considerable cost in money, use of scarce hospital beds and staff, and suffering.

Comparing this experience under private health insurance to my own limited experience with HMO's, it's likely the communication among units would be better and the costs reduced. Costs for the patient and the system. But what's a cost for the payer is income for the payee. And the physician and labs have more freedom under the current system. It's all tradeoffs. (More to follow).

Wednesday, August 17, 2005

Islam Has the Right Idea

Travelers are much more sanitary than health care workers and visitors. That's a fact I gleaned from recent experience:

* the rest stops along I-81 were very busy, usually 2 or 3 men in the restroom at a time. Very seldom did someone urinate and leave; the pattern I observed was that everyone washed.

* in the upstate NY hospital I was visiting, the vistor's lounge had its own bathroom, which seemed to be used both by hospital staff and visitors. Sitting in the lounge you could hear the toilet flush and the sink run. But much of the time, I'd say at least half, you only heard the flush and no running water.

Why the difference? I'd guess it's the visibility. While you don't look at each other in the restroom, you're very conscious of others so you live up to the norms they display. In the bathroom, you're by yourself and easily forget that your activities can be heard. So you don't wash your hands, which is the cause of much death in hospitals.

If I understand correctly, Islam doesn't have this problem because it's taken specialization to the point of dedicating the left hand for sanitation. Failure to comply may be a sin.

As a true American, I'd suggest that we put a sign outside bathrooms. Most new public bathrooms have motion recognition triggering the flow of water, that that to the sign and to the door. The sign goes dark when the door closes, lights up when it opens if the water has run and says: "last user washed hands". I offer the idea free in the interests of improving life expectancy.

NY Times Articles on Hospitals and Patients

This NYTimes article, entitled In the Hospital, a Degrading Shift From Person to Patient - New York Times: includes a reference to one of my favorite thinkers, Erving Goffman:
"In Dr. Goffman's account of life in a mental institution in the 1950's, he describes the admission process as a stripping away of possessions, 'perhaps the most significant of which is not physical at all, one's full name.'

In modern medicine, patients more commonly become exasperated because they do not know the names of the doctors or other medical staff. At many clinics and hospitals, staff members come and go without introductions, patients say. Name tags are in lettering too small to read easily; the names embroidered in script on doctors' coats can get lost in folds."
Based on recent (vicarious) experience, all true, but somewhat overdone. In the hospital I was visiting (I plan more blogs on this, and will limit identification to "upstate hospital") they were trying. Staff were supposed to identify themselves to the patient. There was a white board for each patient that was to show the nurse and aide assigned on each shift.

But as with any bureaucracy, changing procedures and instilling habits is difficult. The white board was someone's bright idea, but it was too small for an older patient without her glasses to read. The markers for use with the board got mislaid. And, I strongly suspect, the "someone" was an administrator who never really got buyin at the working level. A big part of the problem is that change takes time and money. If an organization is strapped for both, the "bright ideas" don't get fully implemented, which increases cynicism and makes future change harder (see Dilbert).

What was good in this hospital was the acceptance that names should be known, so there was little awkwardness about asking. The social norm had been established, even though the practice was somewhat ineffective.

Resuming Blogging

No travel planned for a couple weeks, and should do better even then. As I said in a very early post, we never do things right the first time.

Thursday, August 11, 2005

Nini's

My previous post was a little optimistic. I'm stuck back in upstate New York, using a PC at the local library (omit terrorist joke here). Seriously, libraries are one of the great inventions--we should thank Ben Franklin and Andrew Carnegie regularly.

My title takes off from thoughts on the health care system--it's pervaded by the influence of American individualism. (More to follow.) But the "nini's" are also a symptom of individualism--nini as in:

  • "Not invented here"--NIH
  • "Not in my backyard"--NIMBY.

Are there more ninis?

Saturday, August 06, 2005

Curses

I'm back to blogging, at least for a while. If my earlier blog this morning sounded jaundiced, 17 days with a Presbyterian elder, my sister, will do that to you. (Also lost 5 pounds; I'm now almost as thin as I was at 26.) I could be grand and talk about the effect of dealing with pain and issues of life and death, but it's more accurate to say my foul mood is just the result of fatigue.

At any rate, I'll be blogging a bit, perhaps talking about the amazing prevalence of silos, both in the Northeast and in hospitals, at least until I take off again to see my sister.

Update on Divestment

An update to the controversy in the Presbyterian Church over divestment. You can say one thing for them: they don't act speedily--took one year to decide to "press". (They also added a bank that may have helped channel money to Palestinian terrorists. Presbyterians want to be right, they also want to be perceived to be fair.) They still get called anti-Semitic, though with an adjective.


Threat to Divest Is Church Tool in Israeli Fight - New York Times: "The Presbyterian Church U.S.A. announced Friday that it would press four American corporations to stop providing military equipment and technology to Israel for use in the occupation of the Palestinian territories, and that if the companies did not comply, the church would take a vote to divest its stock in them."